SO, at 35% damage reduction, the big IWIN looks like this:

Flame shock instant: 4,237
UF instant: 1,402
Lava Burst Crit: 24,127
Goblin Rocket: 2,712

TOTAL: 32,478/shaman or 129,910.

Lava burst damage, plain jane, will be around 15-17k like you mention on 35% resistant targets. But EM+UE makes a big difference.

UE is available a lot as well, turns that 15-17k into 18-20k.

I have watched the videos... You can see the big difference that our cooldowns make. You can see the 15k bursts in arena matches as well as the 25k ones.

Better yet, I built a spreadsheet with the correct coefficients and validated it with real PTR data. I think the numbers are still strong, even at 35% resistance due to resilience.

I guess we'll see soon. I hope I'm not too wrong.