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Thread: Earthquake

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  1. #1

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    Quote Originally Posted by Santa View Post
    I'm not the expert of probability but isn't this only true if parry, dodge and resist can occur at the same time?

    Otherwise it would be just 10%+20%+30%.
    It was a theoretical example (hence why I wrote between brackets 'non wow related). I'm not a math expert either btw. But the question is; what is the chance that the next attack can be parried, dodged or resisted i.e. what is the chance that one of the following events occur (where parry, dodge & resist are the events). Computing the chance that multiple events occur at the same time or computing the total chance to avoid the next attack is a different thing.
    Everything that is fun in life is either bad for your health, immoral or illegal!

  2. #2

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    Quote Originally Posted by zenga View Post
    It was a theoretical example (hence why I wrote between brackets 'non wow related). I'm not a math expert either btw. But the question is; what is the chance that the next attack can be parried, dodged or resisted i.e. what is the chance that one of the following events occur (where parry, dodge & resist are the events). Computing the chance that multiple events occur at the same time or computing the total chance to avoid the next attack is a different thing.
    Yeah, I wasn't talking about any game in particular either.

    I was just thinking in general that there's no reason for parry, dodge and resist to happen at the same time which was the way your calculation was suggesting.

    If they can't happen at the same time then the calculation using complement would be: 1-P(parry or dodge or resist)^c = 1-(.10+.20+.30)^c = 1-(.40) = .60 (^c means complement)
    Last edited by Santa : 11-20-2011 at 02:20 AM

  3. #3

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    Quote Originally Posted by Santa View Post
    I was just thinking in general that there's no reason for parry, dodge and resist to happen at the same time which was the way your calculation was suggesting.
    I'm not a native English speaker, but I wrote: "then what is the probability that one of those occur when he gets hit", and honestly I have no clue how I can suggest anything else than what I wrote. Maybe I should have added 'at least', but taking all previous posts into account I guess that was pretty obvious.
    Last edited by zenga : 11-20-2011 at 02:32 AM
    Everything that is fun in life is either bad for your health, immoral or illegal!

  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by zenga View Post
    I'm not a native English speaker, but I wrote: "then what is the probability that one of those occur when he gets hit", and honestly I have no clue how I can suggest anything else than what I wrote. Maybe I should have added 'at least', but taking all previous posts into account I guess that was pretty obvious.
    You gave a math example that suggested something else than what you wrote, yes.

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by zenga View Post
    I'm not a native English speaker, but I wrote: "then what is the probability that one of those occur when he gets hit", and honestly I have no clue how I can suggest anything else than what I wrote. Maybe I should have added 'at least', but taking all previous posts into account I guess that was pretty obvious.
    Ok, but I still don't see how it would be possible to parry, dodge and resist an attack at the same time. That just can't be. Unless you're a rouge.
    Last edited by Santa : 11-20-2011 at 03:02 AM

  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by Santa View Post
    Ok, but I still don't see how it would be possible to parry, dodge and resist an attack at the same time. That just can't be. Unless you're a rouge.
    Because it's a bloody theoretical example from a bloody fantasy game

    Last edited by zenga : 11-20-2011 at 11:28 AM
    Everything that is fun in life is either bad for your health, immoral or illegal!

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