Date of Next Expansion?

[kadaan]

Some historical dates on expansions:

BC announced - October 05
1.11 - June 06 (Naxx, last classic content patch)
BC released - January 07 (+7 months, 15 months since announcement)
2.1 - May 07 (+4 months)
Wrath announced - August 07
2.2 - September 07 (+4 months)
2.3 - November 07 (+2 months)
2.4 - March 08 (+4 months)
Wrath released - October 08 (+7 months, 14 months since announcement)
3.1 was April 09 (+6 months)
3.2 was August 09 (+4 months)

Observations:
- Content patches look like they're generally around 4 months apart
- Both expansions came out 7 months after the last content patch
- Expansions came out 14/15 months after their announcement


From this, my guess are:
- 3.3 will come out in December or January (4 or 5 months after 3.2)
- 4.0 will come out 14-15 months after Blizzcon (August 09 -> October/November 2010)
- There will be a 3.4 content patch with something in it around April (3-4 months after 3.3, 6-7 months before 4.0)

[mmcookies]

summer or fall of 2010, depending on when starcraft 2 part 1 ships

[Meathead]

Some historical dates on expansions:

BC announced - October 05
1.11 - June 06 (Naxx, last classic content patch)
BC released - January 07 (+7 months, 15 months since announcement)
2.1 - May 07 (+4 months)
Wrath announced - August 07
2.2 - September 07 (+4 months)
2.3 - November 07 (+2 months)
2.4 - March 08 (+4 months)
Wrath released - October 08 (+7 months, 14 months since announcement)
3.1 was April 09 (+6 months)
3.2 was August 09 (+4 months)

Observations:
- Content patches look like they're generally around 4 months apart
- Both expansions came out 7 months after the last content patch
- Expansions came out 14/15 months after their announcement


From this, my guess are:
- 3.3 will come out in December or January (4 or 5 months after 3.2)
- 4.0 will come out 14-15 months after Blizzcon (August 09 -> October/November 2010)
- There will be a 3.4 content patch with something in it around April (3-4 months after 3.3, 6-7 months before 4.0)

Yea I belive your right

[Bovidae]

Some historical dates on expansions:

BC announced - October 05
1.11 - June 06 (Naxx, last classic content patch)
BC released - January 07 (+7 months, 15 months since announcement)
2.1 - May 07 (+4 months)
Wrath announced - August 07
2.2 - September 07 (+4 months)
2.3 - November 07 (+2 months)
2.4 - March 08 (+4 months)
Wrath released - October 08 (+7 months, 14 months since announcement)
3.1 was April 09 (+6 months)
3.2 was August 09 (+4 months)

Observations:
- Content patches look like they're generally around 4 months apart
- Both expansions came out 7 months after the last content patch
- Expansions came out 14/15 months after their announcement


From this, my guess are:
- 3.3 will come out in December or January (4 or 5 months after 3.2)
- 4.0 will come out 14-15 months after Blizzcon (August 09 -> October/November 2010)
- There will be a 3.4 content patch with something in it around April (3-4 months after 3.3, 6-7 months before 4.0)

I gotta sign on to this hypothesis. and the other message about obligatory Troll killing (3.3) with Icecrown in 3.4

Yes, Blizz should have lots of SC2 info at Blizzcon, and may (doubtfully) announce the mystery MMO, and will definitely have more D3, but their core customer group is ALL WOW, no experience with their other games.

According to the recent Vivendi/activision/blizzard wtfever quarterly report, they modified projected earnings for 4th qtr 2009 due to a delay of SC2 launch to 1st half 2010. I dont see how they could disclose that to investors and not gamers... Expect to see this, but I could not see that dominating the Con.