The longest I've had to wait was 2 hours.
If you want to make SURE it doesn't interrupt your playtime, initiate the transfer after you log off at night, and then wake up in the morning to a completed xfer.
It helps to keep the character transfer status page up and refresh it. Sometimes the confirmation e-mail can take a while to reach it's destination -- but as soon as you finalize the transfer on the character transfer status page you should be fine.
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