My shamans are not geared too well, but I did some experimenting.
I average around 16k dps in heroics. On a couple bosses I made sure to remove lightning shield and my dps dropped down to 9k.
Fulmination seems to be a very big part of the dps. Though I am not sure how to test how much dps is lost from not having lightning shield up and being attacked by any aoe spells, which I assume also trigger a lightning orb.
This you can see with recount(dmg meter)
You can see with this addon howmuch percentage a sertain spell did in ur dps rotation
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