From a realistic standpoint. When do you expect Cataclysm?

[Shodokan]

I understand there is no release date pertaining to this but i am curious what people think is going to happen. So far we know there will be three more patches before cataclysm... 3.3.3, 3.3.5,and 3.9. If they were to release them at 6 week intervals then we're looking at a release date after june (which is what Gamestop in the US is claiming it will be released)

I read a good prediction on MMO-Champion

You really think they're only gonna give a month of beta? I'd think again. They admitted the TBC beta was too short, and that the WotLK one allowed them to get out much better quality content (quality isn't subjective here, so there's no real opinion on it). Releasing it in the summer is just as good as releasing it any time besides major holidays like Christmas (although releasing it just after is better than releasing it just before).

Here's my current timeline predictions (these are EU dates, US dates for live patch releases would be a day earlier);
24 March: 3.3.3 goes live
31 March - 7 April: 3.3.5 hits PTR
8 April - 15 April: Beta goes out
12 May - 19 May: 3.3.5 hits live
23 June - 30 June: 3.9 hits PTR

That's my predicted timeline for the beta, even though it disagree's with my previous vote of may.
However, there's another timeline too. That'd be the Information release timeline;
18 March - 24 March: Class Previews/Mechanic Changes
24 March - 7 April: Beta pages start going active, official site and forums start changing/receiving additions. Additionally, we start seeing more and more "hints" from the blues of "something big" incoming. Keep an eye on Nethaera in particular.
8 April - 15 April: Beta site goes live, download goes up on bnet, keys go out

The floodgates started leaking with the mastery preview. I may be wrong with the above timelines, but at a quick glance, it seems about right. Since 3.9 is a little sketchy still, we don't know what it'll contain, although it's safe to say it'll also feature that Cho'gall event too. They'll fully open within the next month, of that i am sure. There's no doubt in my mind, but once again, i may be wrong.

With these timelines in mind (again, they may be wrong), i'd predict a Cataclysm release of September, ready for the end of the summer, and another chance for Blizzard to cause millions of kids to get bad grades in homework again

An end-of-summer/Q3 release seems good since people will be returning home from long vacations, and it also means there's entertainment available for students when they aren't studying (besides sex and drugs of course ).R

I wouldn't doubt this at all. And the last patch for BC was ~ 2 months IIRC. So in all honesty it's looking like an august or later release date.

Yes this is "theory crafting" but i want peoples opinions.