Wow...just wow...
I've gone from friendly to exalted trying to farm this for all 5 shamans...and has not appeared ONCE in the damn cache of the legion! INSANE!!!!!! Does this thing still even exist in the loot table zomg?!?!
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Wow...just wow...
I've gone from friendly to exalted trying to farm this for all 5 shamans...and has not appeared ONCE in the damn cache of the legion! INSANE!!!!!! Does this thing still even exist in the loot table zomg?!?!
It does I would contact blizzard unless your exagerating
Dropped 2 times the last 2 heroics i did with my main in the past 3 days so i'd say u are just unlucky... :(
Oh man.. I feel for you. I got all 5 of mine in 9 runs. No joke. The first 3 times I ran it - it dropped 3 times in a row. It's really just luck.
Yea blizzard drop rate is annoying some people do not comprend but it works like this
15% chance to dropx5=15% per time not 100%...Even though I think it should record who enters/loots and work on an addition system
I feel your pain,,, Im not quite as dedicated as you,, but 23 TOV runs later, & 0 drops.
Took me 32 runs to get all five (on normal), but it does drop. Are you sure you're looting the cache and not some boss? :P
Btw, assuming drop chance if 15%, the chance of not getting one in 25 runs is like 1.7%
Fuzzy scroll up abit(Not sure its 15%) Thats not the way it works :(
Since 5 items drop from the cache and there's always 1 item in there I guess it's 20% (I suppose it's reasonable to assume that all items have the same chance of dropping judging by wowhead data). Assuming there's a 20% dropchance, the chance of not getting one in 25 runs is in the 0.75 pct area - or in other words very rare but also (unfortunately) possible.Quote:
Originally Posted by 'homerjunior',index.php?page=Thread&postID=93867#p ost93867
I'm not sure what you mean by "that's not the way it works" - there's been a lot of conspiracy theories of drop chance being based on class composition in the group, level of equipped items etc etc, but there is really no evidence of this. Basically theres a set chance of the item dropping each instance - it does not depend on class/gear/faction/race/etc, just on chance. The chance of not getting the totem in any given run is 80% (or 85%) and the chance of not getting the totem in 25 runs in a row is very very slim, but it's a possibility (a 0.75 pct one, but never the less a possibility).
If the item has a 15% chance to drop, then the chance for it not to drop in one run is 85% (or 0.85 for math purposes).
The chance for it not to drop in 2 runs is 0.85*0.85.
The chance for it not to drop in N runs is 0.85^N.
I'm not sure how you're coming up with numbers when he didn't say how many runs he did, but let's say it's 25:
0.85^25 = 0.017197... ~= 1.72% chance of happening.
Yeah, like I wrote in a previous post:Quote:
Originally Posted by 'BobGnarly',index.php?page=Thread&postID=93894#pos t93894
The 0.75 pct from the second post was was a miscalculation (i typed wrong on the calc i guess) - if the drop chance is 20%, the chance of not getting one is in the area of 0.4 % (however the chance is 0.075% if the dropchance is 25% - perhaps that's what caused it).Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Fuzzyboy',index.php?page=Thread&postID=93862#post 93862
The number 25 I just grabbed from thin air (one guy mentioned 23 runs. The original poster didn't mention a number, but I'm assuming it's more than 25 since I took 32 runs and still wasn't exalted in spite of having done a good deal of sha'tar quests before the runs. The exact number isn't really important - I was simply trying to establish that while the chance of not getting one in x amount of runs (25 being the random choice) was very small it was still an possibility.
I think I did about 7 runs, was not to bad. They go fast.
I did 3 more runs this morning before I went to work, I keep getting those damn cloth robes, cloth shoulders, or the friggin boots. I've seen the cloak twice...
I started at about half way through friendly and soon as I hit exalted I threw my hands up and thought WTF?! All I do is kill the 2 mini-bosses and the 1st boss, then open the cache, I stopped keeping track of how many runs I've already done lol.
And I will continue to run mech up to the cache until I DO get all 5 needed lol. On the plus side I've built up a ridiculous amount of enchanting mats.
I too went from Friendly to Exalted and I've only had it drop twice for me. I've given up trying to farm for it now.
I tried farming for it, just killing all the trash necessary (and the first boss), zone out, reset, rinse & repeat.
TWO!
OMG! Did a run right after my last post and got my first one!!! WOOT 4 more to go folks!
i need 3 moar too, soo boring xD
Not sure how many runs I needed for my 5, but I was about halfway to exhalted when I got all of them
how long is the run taking? i am about to hit 70 within the month and i am starting to dread the amount of runs needed ;(
I don't think you understand how much I hate you. It took me 4 days of farming mech to do it. I got 140~ Large prismatics before I got all 5 totems >_<Quote:
Originally Posted by 'Manaburner',index.php?page=Thread&postID=93839#po st93839
Unlucky. I farmed 5 for me, and only went to half honored/revered, missing 6k to revered.
The first 4 totems dropped in my first 6 runs.
The last totem dropped in the following 10 runs.
12 runs 4 totems \o/
all items are supposed to have almost the same drop chance of 15% or so. I must have run this 30-40 times and had 12 pairs of pants,12 cloaks but only 5 totems.
now that I don't need it anymore it's dropped at least 3 times, which is the sum total of times I've gone there since I burned myself out on that instance.
and it won't let you loot a second totem of the void, says you already have one and can't carry anymore of them.
I have to say i really feel for you. I must say though, that with all the runs I've done with my main (normals & heroics) i can't remember seeing this totem. Ever. Good luck gathering the remaining 4!
i was at exalted on my group with 2 totems left and I was only collecting 4, good luck mate!
I got my 5th tonight, so no more farming Mech for me :thumbsup:
Didn't see any for the first ten or so runs, then five dropped over the next 12 runs.
As for drop rates...... 15% means it could fail to drop 85 million times in a row, and then drop the next 15 million times. That's still 15% and it's within the realms of possibility. That's the joy of probability.