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This is assuming no cooldown. He will absolutely not be casting HS 50% of the time. HS has an 8 second cooldown. The GCD is 1.5 seconds which leaves 6.5 seconds of button mashing to cast other spells before HS is active again. HS then has a 50% chance of activating the next time the button is pressed and it is off of the cooldown.
What we need is someone to parse their combat logs, see how many times each spell was cast and then you can compare
I never said that he would cast those percentages... I said that is the percentage of cast attempts he would get per click.... 50% of all clicks attempting HS and only 3.125% attempting to cast Concecration is a problem... especially considering that a good 80% of his clicks will be blocked by a global cooldown or spell cooldown...
I don't need to see the combat log parse tell me how well this macro would perform. Wowfreak's macro from this thread is vastly superior, and is similar to what I use. Heffner's is pretty much equivalent (his button 2 is doing most of the work, and is pretty much the same as wowfreak's) from this thread (which is also very similar to heffner's last post)